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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAGrande Prairie
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Grande Prairie weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Grande Prairie today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 19°, with a 1% chance of rain.

16°
19°
22°
24°
20°13°
15°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Partly cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Grande Prairie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
22°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
15° 10°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
18°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
17°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
18°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
15°
±5°

Grande Prairie is a town of about 70,000 people in Alberta, sitting at 55.2°N in a cool, high-latitude climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Grande Prairie with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Dawson Creek, Peace River, Fort St. John.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Grande Prairie?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±1.7 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C95±2.7 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C92±4.2 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 16°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 20°±1%0% to 1% chance
Monmodels agree22° to 22°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±5%1% to 6% chance
Wed±4°19° to 22°±16%8% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grande Prairie

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
20:38
Daylight
13h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grande Prairie today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Grande Prairie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Grande Prairie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Grande Prairie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grande Prairie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Grande Prairie (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather