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CheckWeather CADawson Creek
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dawson Creek weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Dawson Creek today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 21°, with a 2% chance of rain.

17°
21°
22°
23°
20°12°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Partly cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Dawson Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
22°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
23°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±7°
Fri
Partly cloudy
12°
models agree
Sat
Clear
18°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
16°
±8°
Wed
Clear
18°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±6°

Dawson Creek is a small town of about 12,000 people in British Columbia, sitting at 55.8°N in a cool, high-latitude climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Dawson Creek with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Fort St. John, Grande Prairie, Peace River.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dawson Creek?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C96±1.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C94±2.9 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
71
/100rank #3
72±1.6°C94±2.8 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°20° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°23° to 24°±7%1% to 8% chance
Wed±2°19° to 21°±19%8% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dawson Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
13h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dawson Creek today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Dawson Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dawson Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Dawson Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dawson Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dawson Creek (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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