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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAEstevan
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Estevan weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Estevan's high today between 25° and 27°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 25°, with a 61% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

27°18°
25°18°
22°17°
19°13°
22°12°
25°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
27°
Showers
Today 27°·Low 18°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 17°·Rain 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
27°
Cloudy
Today 27°·Low 17°·Rain 26%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Estevan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
27° 18°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light rain
25° 18°
±6°
Mon
Thunderstorm
22° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 13°
models agree
Fri
Clear
18° 12°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
14°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
17°
±15°
Mon
Partly cloudy
20°
±7°
Tue
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°

Estevan is a small town of about 11,000 people in Saskatchewan, sitting at 49.1°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Estevan with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Weyburn, Arcola East, Whitmore Park.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Estevan?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C93±3.5 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
72
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C94±2.8 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°25° to 27°±57%14% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±6°23° to 29°±41%20% to 61% chance
Mon±2°22° to 24°±9%86% to 95% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±18%29% to 47% chance
Wed±5°19° to 24°±23%10% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Estevan

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Estevan today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Estevan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Estevan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Estevan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Estevan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Estevan (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather