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CheckWeather CA›Arcola East
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Arcola East weather

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Light snow,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Arcola East today. Tomorrow: clear, around 3°, with a 1% chance of rain.

5°-1°
3°-5°
6°-4°
5°-1°
4°0°
5°-1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
1°
Overcast
Feels -7° · Wind 37 km/h · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
2°
Overcast
Feels -6° · Wind 33 km/h · Humidity 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
1°
Overcast
Feels -6° · Wind 32 km/h · Humidity 74%

Latest for Arcola East: Env. Canada (GEM model): 1° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 2° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 1° Overcast.

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Arcola East weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Arcola East swings 42°C across the year, from 25°C highs in August to -17°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 400 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 53 days a year at 25°C or above, 14 of them at 30°C or above, 185 frost nights, and rain on 82 days.

Warmest month
August
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-17°C average low
Wettest month
June
400 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
34,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
53 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
185 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
82 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Arcola East’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Arcola East and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Arcola East hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Arcola East 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light snow
5° -1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
3° -5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
6° -4°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
5° -1°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
4° 0°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
5° -1°
±6°
Fri
Snow
7° -1°
±8°
Sat
Snow showers
5° -1°
±8°
Sun
Clear
5° -3°
±10°
Mon
Clear
6° 0°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
8° 0°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
9° 1°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
11° 2°
±13°

Arcola East, Saskatchewan is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -17°C), with roughly 400 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Arcola East right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Arcola East climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-9°
-17°
Feb
-6°
-17°
Mar
1°
-11°
Apr
9°
-3°
May
17°
4°
Jun
21°
10°
Jul
24°
12°
Aug
25°
13°
Sep
19°
6°
Oct
10°
0°
Nov
0°
-8°
Dec
-6°
-14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Arcola East has changed since 1995

Arcola East sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Regina. That square ran 1.2°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Regina page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Arcola East?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.9 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
91
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±3.1 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C87±6.4 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°4° to 6°±27%69% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±1°2° to 3°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°4° to 7°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±5°2° to 6°±22%23% to 45% chance
Wed±5°2° to 7°±23%30% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Arcola East

today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
17:47
Daylight
10h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Arcola East today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Arcola East today. Tomorrow: clear, around 3°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Arcola East today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Arcola East on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 96%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Arcola East?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Arcola East (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Arcola East?
August is typically the warmest month in Arcola East, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Arcola East get?
The coldest month in Arcola East is January, when overnight lows average about -17°C.
How much rain does Arcola East get?
Arcola East sees roughly 400 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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