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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Regina weather

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Snow,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Regina today. Tomorrow: clear, around 3°, with a 1% chance of rain.

5°-1°
3°-5°
6°-4°
5°-1°
4°0°
5°-1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
6°
Snow
Today 6°·Low -1°·Rain 96%
EuropeanECMWF
6°
Light snow
Today 6°·Low 1°·Rain 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Snow
Today 4°·Low -3°·Rain 70%
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Regina weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Regina swings 42°C across the year, from 25°C highs in August to -17°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 404 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 53 days a year at 25°C or above, 14 of them at 30°C or above, 185 frost nights, and rain on 82 days.

Warmest month
August
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-17°C average low
Wettest month
June
404 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
226,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
53 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
185 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
82 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Regina’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Regina and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Regina hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Regina 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Snow
5° -1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
3° -5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
6° -4°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
5° -1°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
4° 0°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
5° -1°
±6°
Fri
Snow
7° -1°
±9°
Sat
Snow showers
5° -1°
±8°
Sun
Clear
5° -3°
±10°
Mon
Clear
6° 0°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
8° 0°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
9° 1°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
11° 2°
±13°

Regina, Saskatchewan. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Regina right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Regina's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Regina weather by month

what to expect in Regina through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Regina's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Regina by season.

Jan
-9°
-17°
Cold
Feb
-6°
-17°
Cold
Mar
1°
-11°
Cold
Apr
9°
-3°
Cool
May
17°
4°
Mild
Jun
21°
10°
Mild
Wettest
Jul
24°
12°
Warm
Aug
25°
13°
Warm
Sep
19°
6°
Mild
Oct
10°
0°
Cool
Nov
0°
-8°
Cold
Dec
-6°
-14°
Cold

What Regina's weather is like through the year

Regina runs from warm summers, with August highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around -17°C (a swing of about 42°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Regina sees roughly 404 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December), so Regina sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Regina

The most comfortable time to visit Regina is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

How Regina's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°C

Around Regina, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2016.

1995: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −2.9°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2010: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2014: −1.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +1.9°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.6°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.6°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

10 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: −2 vs the 30-year average1996: −1 vs the 30-year average1997: +3 vs the 30-year average1998: −4 vs the 30-year average1999: −11 vs the 30-year average2000: −6 vs the 30-year average2001: −4 vs the 30-year average2002: −4 vs the 30-year average2003: +14 vs the 30-year average2004: −14 vs the 30-year average2005: −8 vs the 30-year average2006: −8 vs the 30-year average2007: −4 vs the 30-year average2008: −8 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: −6 vs the 30-year average2011: −2 vs the 30-year average2012: +8 vs the 30-year average2013: −0 vs the 30-year average2014: −5 vs the 30-year average2015: +6 vs the 30-year average2016: −0 vs the 30-year average2017: +6 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: +21 vs the 30-year average2022: +7 vs the 30-year average2023: +14 vs the 30-year average2024: +12 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

10 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +19 vs the 30-year average1997: +10 vs the 30-year average1998: −8 vs the 30-year average1999: −5 vs the 30-year average2000: −0 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +34 vs the 30-year average2003: −12 vs the 30-year average2004: +17 vs the 30-year average2005: −7 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −15 vs the 30-year average2008: +2 vs the 30-year average2009: +9 vs the 30-year average2010: −17 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: −10 vs the 30-year average2013: +15 vs the 30-year average2014: +5 vs the 30-year average2015: −16 vs the 30-year average2016: −16 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: +17 vs the 30-year average2019: +8 vs the 30-year average2020: +7 vs the 30-year average2021: −2 vs the 30-year average2022: −0 vs the 30-year average2023: −5 vs the 30-year average2024: −21 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+4%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5% vs the 30-year average1996: −5% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: −7% vs the 30-year average1999: +1% vs the 30-year average2000: −3% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: −3% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: −3% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: −3% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −1% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: +5% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: +7% vs the 30-year average2021: +5% vs the 30-year average2022: +7% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: +1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.1°C−2+9−5%
1996−2.9°C−1+19−5%
1997+0.1°C+3+10+1%
1998+0.8°C−4−8−7%
1999+0.5°C−11−5+1%
2000−1.1°C−6−0−3%
2001+0.8°C−4−3−1%
2002−0.8°C−4+34−1%
2003−0.1°C+14−12−3%
2004−0.9°C−14+17+1%
2005−0.4°C−8−7−1%
2006+0.6°C−8−3+1%
2007+0.1°C−4−15+1%
2008−0.8°C−8+2+3%
2009−0.9°C−4+9−1%
2010±0.0°C−6−17−3%
2011+0.2°C−2−0+1%
2012+1.3°C+8−10+3%
2013−0.9°C−0+15−3%
2014−1.5°C−5+5+3%
2015+1.2°C+6−16−1%
2016+1.9°C−0−16+1%
2017+0.9°C+6−9+5%
2018−0.3°C+8+17−1%
2019−1.0°C−3+8−3%
2020+0.6°C+2+7+7%
2021+1.6°C+21−2+5%
2022−0.6°C+7−0+7%
2023+1.6°C+14−5−5%
2024+1.5°C+12−21+1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Regina, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Regina?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.9 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
89
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C97±1.7 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C92±3.9 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Regina, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 89. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°4° to 6°±26%70% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±1°2° to 3°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°4° to 8°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±5°2° to 7°±22%23% to 45% chance
Wed±5°2° to 7°±23%30% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Regina

today, local time
Sunrise
07:36
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Regina today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 5° in Regina today. Tomorrow: clear, around 3°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Regina today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Regina on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 96%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Regina?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Regina (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Regina?
August is typically the warmest month in Regina, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Regina get?
The coldest month in Regina is January, when overnight lows average about -17°C.
How much rain does Regina get?
Regina sees roughly 404 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Regina?
The most comfortable time to visit Regina is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Regina?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December) in Regina, so winter snowfall is common.
Is Regina getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Regina, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More CA weather