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CheckWeather CA›Downtown Moncton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Downtown Moncton weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Downtown Moncton today. Tomorrow: clear, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.

11°-1°
16°2°
14°6°
7°0°
7°-3°
12°-1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
2°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 66%
EuropeanECMWF
3°
Partly cloudy
Feels -1° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
2°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 72%

Latest for Downtown Moncton: Env. Canada (GEM model): 2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 3° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 2° Clear.

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Downtown Moncton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Downtown Moncton swings 39°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1194 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
October
1194 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
7,837
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Downtown Moncton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Downtown Moncton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Downtown Moncton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
11° -1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
16° 2°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 6°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
7° 0°
±3°
Wed
Clear
7° -3°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° -1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13° 5°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
9° 1°
±4°
Sun
Clear
10° -1°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
13° 6°
±9°
Tue
Drizzle
14° 9°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
15° 6°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
8° 1°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 0°
±6°

Downtown Moncton, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1194 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Downtown Moncton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Downtown Moncton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-12°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
2°
-7°
Apr
9°
-1°
May
15°
5°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
-1°
Dec
0°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Downtown Moncton has changed since 1995

Downtown Moncton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Moncton. That square ran 0.8°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Moncton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown Moncton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C97±1.7 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±2.0 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°10° to 11°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±7%7% to 14% chance
Tue±3°6° to 9°±7%7% to 14% chance
Wed±2°6° to 8°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Downtown Moncton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown Moncton today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Downtown Moncton today. Tomorrow: clear, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Downtown Moncton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Downtown Moncton on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown Moncton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown Moncton (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Downtown Moncton?
July is typically the warmest month in Downtown Moncton, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Downtown Moncton get?
The coldest month in Downtown Moncton is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Downtown Moncton get?
Downtown Moncton sees roughly 1194 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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