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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CADowntown Moncton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Downtown Moncton weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Downtown Moncton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 61% chance of rain.

13°11°
19°10°
17°11°
18°
24°12°
21°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light rain
Today 12°·Low 11°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Heavy rain
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 82%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Downtown Moncton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
13° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Thu
Showers
24° 12°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
20° 11°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
20° 12°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
17°
±3°

Downtown Moncton, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1325 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Downtown Moncton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Downtown Moncton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-9°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
-5°
Apr
10°
May
16°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown Moncton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±1.5 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C96±1.8 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
63
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C95±2.7 km/t2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°±18%82% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±46%15% to 61% chance
Tue±4°16° to 19°±64%14% to 78% chance
Wed±3°16° to 19°±30%11% to 41% chance
Thu±4°22° to 26°±6%75% to 81% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Downtown Moncton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown Moncton today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Downtown Moncton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Downtown Moncton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Downtown Moncton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown Moncton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown Moncton (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Downtown Moncton?
July is typically the warmest month in Downtown Moncton, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Downtown Moncton get?
The coldest month in Downtown Moncton is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Downtown Moncton get?
Downtown Moncton sees roughly 1325 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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