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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Douglas-Gilpin weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Douglas-Gilpin today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 94% chance of rain.

10°5°
13°7°
14°6°
11°7°
9°5°
8°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
10°
Drizzle
Today 10°·Low 4°·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Drizzle
Today 9°·Low 6°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Light rain
Today 11°·Low 6°·Rain 65%
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Douglas-Gilpin weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Douglas-Gilpin swings 23°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to 1°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2211 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
2211 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Douglas-Gilpin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Douglas-Gilpin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Douglas-Gilpin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
10° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 6°
models agree
Tue
Showers
11° 7°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 4°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
8° 2°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
10° 3°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
12° 6°
±2°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
12° 5°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
11° 9°
±4°

Douglas-Gilpin, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 2211 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Douglas-Gilpin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Douglas-Gilpin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
1°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
10°
1°
Apr
13°
5°
May
18°
7°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
24°
14°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
1°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Douglas-Gilpin has changed since 1995

Douglas-Gilpin sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Vancouver. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Vancouver page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Douglas-Gilpin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C99±0.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.8 km/h6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C96±2.0 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°9° to 11°±44%48% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±41%53% to 94% chance
Mon±2°13° to 14°±16%13% to 29% chance
Tue±1°10° to 11°±26%33% to 59% chance
Wed±2°8° to 9°±19%48% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Douglas-Gilpin

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Douglas-Gilpin today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Douglas-Gilpin today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Douglas-Gilpin today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Douglas-Gilpin on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 53% (Env. Canada 76%, European 94%, American 53%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Douglas-Gilpin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Douglas-Gilpin (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Douglas-Gilpin?
July is typically the warmest month in Douglas-Gilpin, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Douglas-Gilpin get?
The coldest month in Douglas-Gilpin is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Douglas-Gilpin get?
Douglas-Gilpin sees roughly 2211 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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