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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACobourg
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Cobourg weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Cobourg's high today between 20° and 24°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 4% chance of rain.

22°15°
23°13°
23°15°
22°18°
22°17°
20°13°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Mostly clear
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 16°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cobourg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 15°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Showers
22° 18°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Sat
Showers
22° 15°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
23° 16°
±10°
Mon
Clear
18° 12°
±5°
Tue
Clear
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
20° 13°
models agree

Cobourg, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -5°C), with roughly 981 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Cobourg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Cobourg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-5°
Mar
-2°
Apr
11°
May
17°
Jun
22°
15°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
24°
17°
Sep
22°
15°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cobourg?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±1.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±3.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #3
65±1.9°C94±3.1 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°20° to 24°±2%3% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°20° to 25°±34%48% to 82% chance
Thu±1°22° to 23°±17%20% to 37% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cobourg

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cobourg today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Cobourg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cobourg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Cobourg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cobourg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cobourg (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cobourg?
July is typically the warmest month in Cobourg, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Cobourg get?
The coldest month in Cobourg is February, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Cobourg get?
Cobourg sees roughly 981 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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