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CheckWeather CACharlesbourg
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Charlesbourg weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Charlesbourg's high today between 20° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 6% chance of rain.

21°
23°12°
20°10°
18°
21°13°
16°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Charlesbourg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 10°
±2°
Wed
Rain
18°
±3°
Thu
Showers
21° 13°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
16° 10°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Sun
Light rain
20° 12°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
17° 10°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
17° 10°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
18°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
15°
±2°

Charlesbourg, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1361 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Charlesbourg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Charlesbourg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-13°
Feb
-4°
-14°
Mar
-7°
Apr
-1°
May
18°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-2°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Charlesbourg?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C95±2.5 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C94±2.9 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 22°±12%3% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±3°22° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±2°18° to 21°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±4%94% to 98% chance
Thu±4°19° to 23°±6%93% to 99% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Charlesbourg

today, local time
Sunrise
06:11
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
13h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Charlesbourg today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Charlesbourg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Charlesbourg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Charlesbourg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Charlesbourg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Charlesbourg (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Charlesbourg?
July is typically the warmest month in Charlesbourg, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Charlesbourg get?
The coldest month in Charlesbourg is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Charlesbourg get?
Charlesbourg sees roughly 1361 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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