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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Chandler weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Chandler's high today between 10° and 15°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 8% chance of rain.

12°-2°
15°2°
14°3°
5°0°
7°-1°
8°-1°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
1°
Clear
Feels -3° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 71%
EuropeanECMWF
6°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 56%
AmericanNOAA GFS
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 70%

Latest for Chandler: Env. Canada (GEM model): 1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 6° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 3° Clear.

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Chandler weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Chandler swings 36°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to -14°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1079 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
October
1079 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
7,914
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Chandler and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Chandler hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Chandler 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12° -2°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15° 2°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 3°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
5° 0°
models agree
Wed
Clear
7° -1°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° -1°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
10° 3°
±4°
Sat
Clear
7° -1°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
8° -2°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
11° 4°
±7°
Tue
Light rain
12° 7°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 6°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
7° 1°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
6° -1°
±5°

Chandler, Quebec is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1079 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Chandler right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Chandler climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-6°
-14°
Feb
-6°
-14°
Mar
-2°
-8°
Apr
5°
-3°
May
13°
5°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
11°
4°
Nov
4°
-2°
Dec
-1°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Chandler's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°C

Around Chandler, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2005: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.6°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2019: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.5°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.8°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

4 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +7 vs the 30-year average1996: +6 vs the 30-year average1997: +11 vs the 30-year average1998: −6 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: −3 vs the 30-year average2001: +4 vs the 30-year average2002: +13 vs the 30-year average2003: +5 vs the 30-year average2004: +7 vs the 30-year average2005: −1 vs the 30-year average2006: −12 vs the 30-year average2007: +7 vs the 30-year average2008: −1 vs the 30-year average2009: −2 vs the 30-year average2010: −32 vs the 30-year average2011: −7 vs the 30-year average2012: −8 vs the 30-year average2013: +4 vs the 30-year average2014: +3 vs the 30-year average2015: +4 vs the 30-year average2016: +0 vs the 30-year average2017: +10 vs the 30-year average2018: +7 vs the 30-year average2019: +12 vs the 30-year average2020: +16 vs the 30-year average2021: −24 vs the 30-year average2022: −2 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: −16 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: +0% vs the 30-year average1998: +0% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +0% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +0% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: −7% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: −4% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: +2% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: +2% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: +0% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +0% vs the 30-year average2021: +0% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: +0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.6°C+7−2%
1996−0.5°C+6−2%
1997−1.4°C+11+0%
1998+0.1°C−6+0%
1999+0.7°C−6+4%
2000−0.3°C−3+0%
2001+0.4°C+4−2%
2002−0.6°C+13+0%
2003−0.6°C+5−2%
2004−0.7°C+7+2%
2005±0.0°C−1+2%
2006+0.8°C−12−7%
2007−0.6°C+7+2%
2008−0.4°C−1−4%
2009−0.5°C−2−2%
2010+1.6°C−32+2%
2011+0.2°C−7+2%
2012+0.9°C−8−2%
2013−0.1°C+4+2%
2014−0.3°C+3+2%
2015−0.9°C+4+2%
2016+0.1°C+0−2%
2017−0.1°C+10+0%
2018−0.7°C+7+2%
2019−0.9°C+12+2%
2020+0.2°C+16+0%
2021+1.5°C−24+0%
2022+0.2°C−2+2%
2023+0.9°C−4−2%
2024+1.8°C−16+0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Chandler, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Chandler?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
79±1.2°C96±2.2 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C95±2.5 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C94±3.1 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°10° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°14° to 18°±8%0% to 8% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±52%12% to 64% chance
Tue±1°5° to 6°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°7° to 9°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chandler

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
17:12
Daylight
10h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chandler today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Chandler's high today between 10° and 15°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 8% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Chandler today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Chandler on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 8% (Env. Canada 0%, European 8%, American 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chandler?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chandler (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chandler?
August is typically the warmest month in Chandler, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Chandler get?
The coldest month in Chandler is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Chandler get?
Chandler sees roughly 1079 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Chandler getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Chandler, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather