Light drizzle,warmer tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Belle-Baie today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 45% chance of rain.
Belle-Baie is a small town of about 14,000 people in New Brunswick, sitting at 47.8°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Belle-Baie with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Bathurst, Hautes-Terres, Heron Bay.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.