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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACarleton North
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Carleton North weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Carleton North's high today between 15° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 21°, with a 7% chance of rain.

17°
21°
17°
17°
23°12°
17°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low 10°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 11%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Carleton North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17°
±5°
Thu
Rain
23° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
20°
±4°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
23° 12°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±11°
Tue
Light rain
14° 10°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
16°
models agree

Carleton North, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1248 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Carleton North right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Carleton North climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-12°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
-6°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
17°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-1°
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carleton North?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.6 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #2
69±1.7°C94±2.8 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C95±2.5 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 18°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°±7%0% to 7% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±26%7% to 33% chance
Wed±5°15° to 20°±49%28% to 77% chance
Thu±2°22° to 24°±11%77% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carleton North

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
13h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carleton North today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Carleton North today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carleton North today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Carleton North and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carleton North?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carleton North (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carleton North?
July is typically the warmest month in Carleton North, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Carleton North get?
The coldest month in Carleton North is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Carleton North get?
Carleton North sees roughly 1248 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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