Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Carleton North today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.
Carleton North swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1208 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
July
1208 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
9,170
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Carleton North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Carleton North hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Carleton North 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11°-4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
15°-1°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13°2°
±3°
Tue
Clear
5°-2°
models agree
Wed
Clear
5°-5°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10°-4°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
11°2°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
8°-1°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
10°-3°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°3°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
13°7°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
10°2°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
6°-1°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
5°-2°
±5°
Carleton North, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1208 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Carleton North right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-6°
-15°
Feb
-4°
-15°
Mar
0°
-9°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
16°
5°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
19°
9°
Oct
12°
3°
Nov
5°
-3°
Dec
-4°
-11°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Carleton North's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Carleton North, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
8 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
7 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.8°C
+4
+7
−3%
1996
−0.7°C
−12
+14
+0%
1997
−1.9°C
−8
+15
−3%
1998
+0.3°C
−7
−8
+0%
1999
+0.9°C
+12
+2
+3%
2000
−0.6°C
−14
−3
+0%
2001
+0.5°C
+6
−4
−3%
2002
−0.6°C
+1
+20
+0%
2003
−0.7°C
+5
+3
+0%
2004
−0.9°C
−7
+9
+3%
2005
+0.1°C
+3
−6
+3%
2006
+1.2°C
+1
−10
+0%
2007
−0.8°C
−2
+3
+3%
2008
−0.3°C
−7
−2
−3%
2009
−0.5°C
−8
+6
+0%
2010
+1.5°C
+3
−20
+0%
2011
+0.3°C
−10
−7
+0%
2012
+0.7°C
−3
−3
−3%
2013
±0.0°C
−3
−3
+0%
2014
−0.2°C
+5
−7
+0%
2015
−0.5°C
+2
+0
+3%
2016
+0.3°C
−0
−1
+0%
2017
−0.2°C
−2
−6
+0%
2018
−0.5°C
+16
+12
+3%
2019
−1.0°C
−6
+3
+3%
2020
+0.4°C
+16
+16
+0%
2021
+1.1°C
+5
−12
−3%
2022
+0.5°C
+3
−10
+0%
2023
+1.0°C
+7
−4
−8%
2024
+1.6°C
+14
−8
−6%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Carleton North, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Carleton North?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C
97±1.7 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
93
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C
96±2.0 km/h
100100% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C
92±4.1 km/h
8290% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±1°10° to 11°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow
±2°15° to 17°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon
±3°12° to 15°
±51%14% to 65% chance
Tue
±1°4° to 5°
±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed
±2°5° to 7°
models agree0% to 0% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Carleton North
today, local time
Sunrise
08:00
Sunset
18:27
Daylight
10h 27m
Common questions
What's the weather in Carleton North today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Carleton North today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Carleton North today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Carleton North on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carleton North?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carleton North (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carleton North?
July is typically the warmest month in Carleton North, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Carleton North get?
The coldest month in Carleton North is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Carleton North get?
Carleton North sees roughly 1208 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Carleton North getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Carleton North, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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