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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Aldergrove weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Aldergrove's high today between 8° and 13°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 86% chance of rain.

10°5°
13°7°
14°5°
11°6°
9°5°
8°4°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
10°
Light drizzle
Today 10°·Low 7°·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Light drizzle
Today 8°·Low 3°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Drizzle
Today 13°·Low 5°·Rain 43%
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Aldergrove weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Aldergrove swings 25°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to 0°C lows in December, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1788 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
December
0°C average low
Wettest month
November
1788 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Aldergrove and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Aldergrove hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Aldergrove 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
10° 5°
±5°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
13° 7°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
14° 5°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Wed
Showers
9° 5°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 4°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
9° 0°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10° 2°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
11° 4°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
12° 3°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
10° 4°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
12° 8°
±4°

Aldergrove, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Dec (lows around 0°C), with roughly 1788 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Aldergrove right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Aldergrove climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
1°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
11°
2°
Apr
14°
5°
May
18°
7°
Jun
21°
10°
Jul
25°
12°
Aug
24°
12°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
15°
7°
Nov
9°
3°
Dec
5°
0°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Aldergrove has changed since 1995

Aldergrove sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Abbotsford. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Abbotsford page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Aldergrove?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.0 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.6 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C91±4.3 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°8° to 13°±43%43% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 15°±40%46% to 86% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±20%5% to 25% chance
Tue±2°10° to 12°±16%43% to 59% chance
Wed±3°8° to 10°±28%48% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Aldergrove

today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
10h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Aldergrove today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Aldergrove's high today between 8° and 13°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 86% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Aldergrove today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Aldergrove on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 71%, European 86%, American 46%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 86%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aldergrove?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aldergrove (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aldergrove?
July is typically the warmest month in Aldergrove, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Aldergrove get?
The coldest month in Aldergrove is December, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Aldergrove get?
Aldergrove sees roughly 1788 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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