Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Abbotsford's high today between 8° and 14°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 84% chance of rain.
Abbotsford swings 26°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -1°C lows in December, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1783 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 41 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 of them at 30°C or above, 59 frost nights, and rain on 176 days.
Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
December
-1°C average low
Wettest month
November
1783 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
141,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
41 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
59 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
176 days
a year with 1 mm or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Abbotsford’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Abbotsford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Abbotsford hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Abbotsford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
11°4°
±6°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
13°7°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
14°6°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
11°6°
±3°
Wed
Showers
9°5°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8°4°
±2°
Fri
Clear
7°2°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
9°0°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
10°2°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
11°4°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
12°4°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
10°5°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
12°8°
±3°
Abbotsford, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Dec (lows around -1°C), with roughly 1783 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Abbotsford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
5°
0°
Feb
6°
0°
Mar
10°
1°
Apr
13°
4°
May
18°
7°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
25°
13°
Aug
24°
13°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
14°
7°
Nov
8°
3°
Dec
4°
-1°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Abbotsford's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C
Around Abbotsford, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
1 more day a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
5 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.3°C
+1
−11
+6%
1996
−1.0°C
−1
+17
+6%
1997
+0.2°C
+1
+3
+6%
1998
+0.4°C
+0
−22
+1%
1999
−0.5°C
−3
−13
+6%
2000
−0.8°C
−3
+19
−4%
2001
−0.6°C
−3
+8
+1%
2002
−0.3°C
−1
+12
−4%
2003
+0.3°C
−1
+6
−4%
2004
+0.8°C
+3
−13
−4%
2005
+0.4°C
−3
+0
−4%
2006
+0.2°C
+1
−8
+1%
2007
−0.4°C
−3
+0
+1%
2008
−1.0°C
+2
+14
−4%
2009
−0.5°C
+6
+27
−4%
2010
−0.2°C
+0
−18
+1%
2011
−1.2°C
−3
+15
+1%
2012
−0.5°C
+1
+9
+1%
2013
−0.2°C
−1
−2
−9%
2014
+0.5°C
+4
+1
+1%
2015
+1.3°C
+0
−19
−4%
2016
+0.6°C
−1
−17
+1%
2017
−0.3°C
+3
+11
+6%
2018
+0.5°C
+1
−11
+1%
2019
±0.0°C
−3
+13
−4%
2020
+0.2°C
−2
−7
+1%
2021
±0.0°C
+1
−3
+6%
2022
+0.1°C
+4
+11
−4%
2023
+0.6°C
−1
−8
−4%
2024
−0.2°C
+1
−15
+1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Abbotsford, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Abbotsford?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C
97±1.7 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C
96±1.9 km/h
7687% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C
96±1.8 km/h
7687% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±6°8° to 14°
±37%45% to 82% chance
Tomorrow
±3°12° to 15°
±36%48% to 84% chance
Mon
±2°13° to 15°
±20%4% to 24% chance
Tue
±3°10° to 13°
±15%46% to 61% chance
Wed
±1°8° to 10°
±25%48% to 73% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Abbotsford
today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
10h 17m
Common questions
What's the weather in Abbotsford today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Abbotsford's high today between 8° and 14°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 84% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Abbotsford today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Abbotsford on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 71%, European 84%, American 48%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 82%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Abbotsford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Abbotsford (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Abbotsford?
July is typically the warmest month in Abbotsford, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Abbotsford get?
The coldest month in Abbotsford is December, when overnight lows average about -1°C.
How much rain does Abbotsford get?
Abbotsford sees roughly 1783 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
Is Abbotsford getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Abbotsford, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
