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Cuba weather

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EuropeanECMWF
23°
Partly cloudy
Feels 28° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Clear
Feels 29° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 93%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Fog
Feels 28° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 99%

Latest for Cuba: European (ECMWF): 23° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 25° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 23° Fog.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cuba and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Cuba? Cuba, Cuba, sits at 23.2°N in a tropical climate zone. The averages on this page are measured at Varadero, the main gateway for CA travellers; inland and mountain areas run cooler. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Cuba right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a beach trip the rain and wind columns below matter most - that is what makes or breaks a day by the sea.

Where to go in Cuba

We cover 3 destinations in Cuba, each with its own live three-model comparison and long-run averages. The table shows the typical daytime high in January and July and the wettest month, so you can see how much the coast, the cities and the islands differ before you pick dates.

DestinationJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Varadero27°C33°CSeptember1219 mm
Cayo Coco27°C31°COctober1320 mm
Holguín29°C34°CMay1309 mm

Best time to visit Cuba

The most comfortable time to visit Cuba is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

Cuba weather by month

what to expect in Cuba through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Cuba's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Cuba by season.

Jan
27°
21°
Warm
Feb
27°
20°
Warm
Mar
29°
21°
Hot
Apr
29°
22°
Hot
May
31°
23°
Hot
Jun
31°
25°
Hot
Jul
33°
26°
Hot
Aug
33°
26°
Hot
Sep
32°
25°
Hot
Wettest
Oct
30°
25°
Hot
Nov
28°
24°
Warm
Dec
26°
22°
Warm

Cuba compared with Toronto

30-year averages: daytime highs month by month, rain and sunlight

Warmer through the year

+16°C

average daytime high: Cuba 30°C, Toronto 14°C

Rain over a year

+29%

Cuba 1,192 mm, Toronto 924 mm

Sunlight vs a clear sky

83% vs 67%

solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day, averaged over the year (not sunshine hours)

CubaTorontoaverage daytime high, °C, 1991-2020
January, Toronto: 0°CJanuary, Cuba: 27°C (+27°C)February, Toronto: 1°CFebruary, Cuba: 27°C (+26°C)March, Toronto: 5°CMarch, Cuba: 29°C (+24°C)April, Toronto: 12°CApril, Cuba: 29°C (+17°C)May, Toronto: 19°CMay, Cuba: 31°C (+12°C)June, Toronto: 24°CJune, Cuba: 31°C (+7°C)July, Toronto: 27°CJuly, Cuba: 33°C (+6°C)August, Toronto: 26°CAugust, Cuba: 33°C (+7°C)September, Toronto: 22°CSeptember, Cuba: 32°C (+10°C)October, Toronto: 15°COctober, Cuba: 30°C (+15°C)November, Toronto: 8°CNovember, Cuba: 28°C (+20°C)December, Toronto: 3°CDecember, Cuba: 26°C (+23°C)

On 30-year averages Cuba runs 16°C warmer than Toronto, with every month between +6°C and +27°C. Over a year it gets 29% more rain than Toronto.

Month by month in numbers
MonthCubaTorontoDifferenceSunlight, CubaSunlight, Toronto
January27°C0°C+27°C77%56%
February27°C1°C+26°C82%57%
March29°C5°C+24°C86%64%
April29°C12°C+17°C88%67%
May31°C19°C+12°C85%72%
June31°C24°C+7°C81%76%
July33°C27°C+6°C87%79%
August33°C26°C+7°C87%79%
September32°C22°C+10°C83%76%
October30°C15°C+15°C81%63%
November28°C8°C+20°C79%60%
December26°C3°C+23°C79%54%

Daytime highs and lows on this page are 1991-2020 averages. Cuba: no weather station within 30 km at a similar height, so lows are ERA5 point values for 2023-2024, corrected month by month by NASA POWER's difference between those two years and 1991-2020, and highs are the uncorrected ERA5 values, which tested closer to station normals; rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. Toronto: station normals from Toronto City (WMO); rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. Sunlight vs a clear sky is NASA POWER's long-term average of the solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day; it compares cloudiness and is not a count of sunshine hours. Toronto stands in for Canada here; other cities have their own climate tables.

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Cuba?
The most comfortable time to visit Cuba is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Cuba during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Cuba - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cuba?
For destinations abroad we compare three open global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) and show you where they disagree, so you can judge the confidence yourself.
How much warmer is Cuba than Toronto?
On 30-year averages (1991-2020) the daytime high in Cuba is about 16°C warmer than in Toronto (30°C against 14°C), with the monthly gap between 6°C and 27°C.

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