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Cancún weather

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EuropeanECMWF
22°
Mainly clear
Feels 25° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Mainly clear
Feels 24° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 86%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Partly cloudy
Feels 26° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for Cancún: European (ECMWF): 22° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Mainly clear · German (DWD ICON): 23° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cancún and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Cancún? Cancún, Mexico, sits at 21.2°N in a tropical climate zone. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Cancún right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a beach trip the rain and wind columns below matter most - that is what makes or breaks a day by the sea.

Best time to visit Cancún

The most comfortable time to visit Cancún is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

Cancún weather by month

what to expect in Cancún through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Cancún's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Cancún by season.

Jan
27°
21°
Warm
Feb
27°
21°
Warm
Mar
29°
23°
Hot
Apr
30°
23°
Hot
May
32°
24°
Hot
Jun
31°
24°
Hot
Jul
32°
25°
Hot
Aug
32°
24°
Hot
Sep
31°
24°
Hot
Wettest
Oct
30°
24°
Hot
Nov
29°
22°
Hot
Dec
27°
22°
Warm

Cancún compared with Toronto

30-year averages: daytime highs month by month, rain and sunlight

Warmer through the year

+16°C

average daytime high: Cancún 30°C, Toronto 14°C

Rain over a year

+52%

Cancún 1,409 mm, Toronto 924 mm

Sunlight vs a clear sky

84% vs 67%

solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day, averaged over the year (not sunshine hours)

CancúnTorontoaverage daytime high, °C, 1991-2020
January, Toronto: 0°CJanuary, Cancún: 27°C (+27°C)February, Toronto: 1°CFebruary, Cancún: 27°C (+26°C)March, Toronto: 5°CMarch, Cancún: 29°C (+24°C)April, Toronto: 12°CApril, Cancún: 30°C (+18°C)May, Toronto: 19°CMay, Cancún: 32°C (+13°C)June, Toronto: 24°CJune, Cancún: 31°C (+7°C)July, Toronto: 27°CJuly, Cancún: 32°C (+5°C)August, Toronto: 26°CAugust, Cancún: 32°C (+6°C)September, Toronto: 22°CSeptember, Cancún: 31°C (+9°C)October, Toronto: 15°COctober, Cancún: 30°C (+15°C)November, Toronto: 8°CNovember, Cancún: 29°C (+21°C)December, Toronto: 3°CDecember, Cancún: 27°C (+24°C)

On 30-year averages Cancún runs 16°C warmer than Toronto, with every month between +5°C and +27°C. Over a year it gets 52% more rain than Toronto.

Month by month in numbers
MonthCancúnTorontoDifferenceSunlight, CancúnSunlight, Toronto
January27°C0°C+27°C79%56%
February27°C1°C+26°C84%57%
March29°C5°C+24°C88%64%
April30°C12°C+18°C89%67%
May32°C19°C+13°C87%72%
June31°C24°C+7°C80%76%
July32°C27°C+5°C88%79%
August32°C26°C+6°C87%79%
September31°C22°C+9°C83%76%
October30°C15°C+15°C80%63%
November29°C8°C+21°C81%60%
December27°C3°C+24°C81%54%

Daytime highs and lows on this page are 1991-2020 averages. Cancún: no weather station within 30 km at a similar height, so lows are ERA5 point values for 2023-2024, corrected month by month by NASA POWER's difference between those two years and 1991-2020, and highs are the uncorrected ERA5 values, which tested closer to station normals; rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. Toronto: station normals from Toronto City (WMO); rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. Sunlight vs a clear sky is NASA POWER's long-term average of the solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day; it compares cloudiness and is not a count of sunshine hours. Toronto stands in for Canada here; other cities have their own climate tables.

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Cancún?
The most comfortable time to visit Cancún is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Cancún during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Cancún - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cancún?
For destinations abroad we compare three open global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) and show you where they disagree, so you can judge the confidence yourself.
How much warmer is Cancún than Toronto?
On 30-year averages (1991-2020) the daytime high in Cancún is about 16°C warmer than in Toronto (30°C against 14°C), with the monthly gap between 5°C and 27°C.

More holiday weather

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