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Bahamas weather

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EuropeanECMWF
27°
Light drizzle
Feels 29° · Wind 24 km/h · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Overcast
Feels 29° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 89%
GermanDWD ICON
27°
Overcast
Feels 30° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 84%

Latest for Bahamas: European (ECMWF): 27° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 25° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 27° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bahamas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Bahamas? Bahamas, Bahamas, sits at 25.1°N in a subtropical climate zone. The averages on this page are measured at Nassau, the main gateway for CA travellers; inland and mountain areas run cooler. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Bahamas right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a beach trip the rain and wind columns below matter most - that is what makes or breaks a day by the sea.

Where to go in Bahamas

We cover one destination in Bahamas, each with its own live three-model comparison and long-run averages. The table shows the typical daytime high in January and July and the wettest month, so you can see how much the coast, the cities and the islands differ before you pick dates.

DestinationJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Nassau26°C33°CJune1426 mm

Best time to visit Bahamas

The most comfortable time to visit Bahamas is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Bahamas weather by month

what to expect in Bahamas through the year, 1991-2020 normals, Lynden Pindling Airport (WMO)

Here is Bahamas's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Bahamas by season.

Jan
26°
18°
Warm
Feb
27°
18°
Warm
Mar
27°
19°
Warm
Apr
29°
21°
Hot
May
30°
22°
Hot
Jun
32°
24°
Hot
Wettest
Jul
33°
25°
Hot
Aug
33°
25°
Hot
Sep
32°
25°
Hot
Oct
31°
24°
Hot
Nov
28°
21°
Warm
Dec
27°
20°
Warm

Bahamas compared with Toronto

30-year averages: daytime highs month by month, rain and sunlight

Warmer through the year

+16°C

average daytime high: Bahamas 30°C, Toronto 14°C

Rain over a year

+54%

Bahamas 1,426 mm, Toronto 924 mm

Sunlight vs a clear sky

83% vs 67%

solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day, averaged over the year (not sunshine hours)

BahamasTorontoaverage daytime high, °C, 1991-2020
January, Toronto: 0°CJanuary, Bahamas: 26°C (+26°C)February, Toronto: 1°CFebruary, Bahamas: 27°C (+26°C)March, Toronto: 5°CMarch, Bahamas: 27°C (+22°C)April, Toronto: 12°CApril, Bahamas: 29°C (+17°C)May, Toronto: 19°CMay, Bahamas: 30°C (+11°C)June, Toronto: 24°CJune, Bahamas: 32°C (+8°C)July, Toronto: 27°CJuly, Bahamas: 33°C (+6°C)August, Toronto: 26°CAugust, Bahamas: 33°C (+7°C)September, Toronto: 22°CSeptember, Bahamas: 32°C (+10°C)October, Toronto: 15°COctober, Bahamas: 31°C (+16°C)November, Toronto: 8°CNovember, Bahamas: 28°C (+20°C)December, Toronto: 3°CDecember, Bahamas: 27°C (+24°C)

On 30-year averages Bahamas runs 16°C warmer than Toronto, with every month between +6°C and +26°C. Over a year it gets 54% more rain than Toronto.

Month by month in numbers
MonthBahamasTorontoDifferenceSunlight, BahamasSunlight, Toronto
January26°C0°C+26°C82%56%
February27°C1°C+26°C84%57%
March27°C5°C+22°C86%64%
April29°C12°C+17°C87%67%
May30°C19°C+11°C83%72%
June32°C24°C+8°C81%76%
July33°C27°C+6°C84%79%
August33°C26°C+7°C84%79%
September32°C22°C+10°C80%76%
October31°C15°C+16°C81%63%
November28°C8°C+20°C82%60%
December27°C3°C+24°C82%54%

Daytime highs and lows on this page are 1991-2020 averages. Bahamas: station normals from Lynden Pindling Airport (WMO), rain included. Toronto: station normals from Toronto City (WMO); rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. Sunlight vs a clear sky is NASA POWER's long-term average of the solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day; it compares cloudiness and is not a count of sunshine hours. Toronto stands in for Canada here; other cities have their own climate tables.

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Bahamas?
The most comfortable time to visit Bahamas is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Bahamas during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Bahamas - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bahamas?
For destinations abroad we compare three open global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) and show you where they disagree, so you can judge the confidence yourself.
How much warmer is Bahamas than Toronto?
On 30-year averages (1991-2020) the daytime high in Bahamas is about 16°C warmer than in Toronto (30°C against 14°C), with the monthly gap between 6°C and 26°C.

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