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CheckWeather AU›Victoria Point
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Victoria Point weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Victoria Point today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

25°19°
24°20°
31°20°
27°18°
26°18°
23°18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Feels 20° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 94%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 92%

Latest for Victoria Point: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light rain.

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Victoria Point weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Victoria Point swings 18°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 10°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1253 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
10°C average low
Wettest month
February
1253 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Victoria Point and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Victoria Point hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Victoria Point 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
25° 19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
24° 20°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
31° 20°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
27° 18°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
23° 18°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 18°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
31° 17°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 17°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
29° 18°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±3°

Victoria Point, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1253 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Victoria Point right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Victoria Point climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
22°
Feb
27°
21°
Mar
26°
20°
Apr
24°
17°
May
22°
13°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
19°
10°
Aug
20°
12°
Sep
22°
14°
Oct
23°
16°
Nov
25°
19°
Dec
27°
21°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Victoria Point has changed since 1995

Victoria Point sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brisbane. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Brisbane page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Victoria Point?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
69±1.7°C91±4.6 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
74
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C94±3.0 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
65±2.0°C95±2.3 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±12%88% to 100% chance
Mon±3°29° to 32°±6%63% to 69% chance
Tue±3°26° to 28°±42%15% to 57% chance
Wed±5°24° to 29°±25%23% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Victoria Point

today, local time
Sunrise
05:02
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Victoria Point today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Victoria Point today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Victoria Point today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Victoria Point on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 88% (European 100%, American 91%, German 88%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Victoria Point?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Victoria Point (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the German at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Victoria Point?
January is typically the warmest month in Victoria Point, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Victoria Point get?
The coldest month in Victoria Point is July, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Victoria Point get?
Victoria Point sees roughly 1253 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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