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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUWellington Point
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 8°C

Wellington Point weather

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Mostly clear,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Wellington Point's high today between 27° and 34°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 24°, with a 3% chance of rain.

32°18°
24°16°
22°16°
22°14°
21°16°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Mostly clear
Today 27°·Low 20°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 18°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
34°
Fog
Today 34°·Low 17°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Wellington Point and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
32° 18°
±8°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
24° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
22° 14°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
21° 16°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Tue
Clear
24° 17°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
23° 17°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 17°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
22° 15°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
24° 16°
±6°

Wellington Point is a small town of about 12,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Wellington Point with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Birkdale, Ormiston, Cleveland.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wellington Point?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
81±1.1°C92±3.8 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C96±2.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
71
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C95±2.4 km/t2961% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°27° to 34°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±66%8% to 74% chance
Wed±5°20° to 24°±59%0% to 59% chance
Thu±3°20° to 22°±82%5% to 87% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wellington Point

today, local time
Sunrise
05:54
Sunset
17:34
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wellington Point today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Wellington Point today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wellington Point today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Wellington Point and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wellington Point?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Wellington Point (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather