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CheckWeather AUManly West
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Manly West weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Manly West's high today between 32° and 34°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 24°, with a 3% chance of rain.

33°17°
24°15°
23°15°
23°13°
21°15°
22°13°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Feels 23° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 56%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Clear
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 46%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 56%

Latest for Manly West: European (ECMWF): 22° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 23° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 22° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Manly West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 17°
±2°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
24° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 16°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Sat
Clear
25° 13°
±4°

Manly West is a small town of about 12,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Manly West with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Wakerley, Wynnum West, Wynnum.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Manly West?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±2.0 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C97±1.6 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C92±4.0 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°32° to 34°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°23° to 23°±44%8% to 52% chance
Wed±1°23° to 24°±11%1% to 12% chance
Thu±1°21° to 22°±36%9% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manly West

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:36
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manly West today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Manly West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manly West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Manly West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manly West?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manly West (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather