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CheckWeather AUAlexandra Hills
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Alexandra Hills weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Alexandra Hills's high today between 30° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 23°, with a 6% chance of rain.

31°17°
23°13°
22°14°
22°11°
20°15°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
31°
Cloudy
Today 31°·Low 16°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Fog
Today 30°·Low 17°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Alexandra Hills and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
31° 17°
±4°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Thu
Showers
20° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
26° 13°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 15°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
25° 11°
±5°

Alexandra Hills is a small town of about 16,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Alexandra Hills with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Ormiston, Capalaba, Cleveland.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Alexandra Hills?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±2.7 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C97±1.5 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°30° to 34°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±1°21° to 23°±49%8% to 57% chance
Wed±2°22° to 24°±53%0% to 53% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±34%5% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alexandra Hills

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:35
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alexandra Hills today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Alexandra Hills today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alexandra Hills today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Alexandra Hills and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alexandra Hills?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Alexandra Hills (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather