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CheckWeather AUMount Cotton
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Mount Cotton weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mount Cotton's high today between 29° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 23°, with a 6% chance of rain.

31°16°
23°13°
22°14°
22°11°
20°15°
21°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
31°
Cloudy
Today 31°·Low 16°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Fog
Today 29°·Low 17°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mount Cotton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
31° 16°
±4°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Thu
Showers
20° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 13°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 14°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
25° 11°
±5°

Mount Cotton, Queensland is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1121 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mount Cotton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mount Cotton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
21°
Feb
29°
21°
Mar
28°
20°
Apr
26°
17°
May
22°
12°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
21°
10°
Aug
23°
13°
Sep
25°
14°
Oct
26°
16°
Nov
27°
19°
Dec
30°
21°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mount Cotton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C97±1.4 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°29° to 34°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±1°21° to 23°±49%8% to 57% chance
Wed±2°22° to 24°±53%0% to 53% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±34%5% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mount Cotton

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:35
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mount Cotton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mount Cotton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mount Cotton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mount Cotton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mount Cotton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mount Cotton (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mount Cotton?
December is typically the warmest month in Mount Cotton, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Mount Cotton get?
The coldest month in Mount Cotton is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Mount Cotton get?
Mount Cotton sees roughly 1121 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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