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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUTerrigal
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Terrigal weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Terrigal today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 21°, with a 77% chance of rain.

22°15°
21°13°
18°11°
19°
17°11°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Mainly clear
Feels 21° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 56%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 55%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Mainly clear
Feels 18° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 59%

Latest for Terrigal: European (ECMWF): 20° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 19° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Terrigal and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
22° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
24°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 15°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 13°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Fri
Clear
26°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
29° 16°
±6°

Terrigal is a small town of about 11,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 33.4°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Terrigal with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Wamberal, Central Coast, Green Point.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Terrigal?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C97±1.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 22°±22%55% to 77% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±54%28% to 82% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°±46%3% to 49% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°±22%3% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Terrigal

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
17:39
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Terrigal today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Terrigal today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Terrigal today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Terrigal and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Terrigal?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Terrigal (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather