Skip to main content
Every Australian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUBateau Bay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bateau Bay weather

Loading live data…

Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Bateau Bay today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 21°, with a 77% chance of rain.

22°14°
21°13°
18°10°
19°
17°10°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Clear
Today 21°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bateau Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
22° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
24°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
29° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 15°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 12°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Fri
Clear
26°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
29° 15°
±6°

Bateau Bay is a small town of about 12,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 33.4°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Bateau Bay with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Killarney Vale, Long Jetty, Wamberal.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bateau Bay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
87
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±22%55% to 77% chance
Tue±2°17° to 18°±54%28% to 82% chance
Wed±1°18° to 19°±46%3% to 49% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°±22%3% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bateau Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
17:39
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bateau Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Bateau Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bateau Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Bateau Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bateau Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bateau Bay (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather