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CheckWeather AUKillarney Vale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Killarney Vale weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Killarney Vale today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 21°, with a 77% chance of rain.

22°14°
21°12°
18°10°
19°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Killarney Vale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
22° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
24°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 12°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
18°
±3°
Fri
Clear
26°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
30° 15°
±4°

Killarney Vale, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1006 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Killarney Vale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Killarney Vale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
27°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
19°
10°
Sep
23°
11°
Oct
23°
13°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Killarney Vale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C93±3.7 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°20° to 23°±22%55% to 77% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±54%28% to 82% chance
Wed±2°18° to 21°±46%3% to 49% chance
Thumodels agree17° to 17°±22%3% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Killarney Vale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
17:39
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Killarney Vale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Killarney Vale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Killarney Vale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Killarney Vale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Killarney Vale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Killarney Vale (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Killarney Vale?
February is typically the warmest month in Killarney Vale, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Killarney Vale get?
The coldest month in Killarney Vale is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Killarney Vale get?
Killarney Vale sees roughly 1006 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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