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CheckWeather AURye
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Rye weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Rye's high today between 13° and 17°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 83% chance of rain.

15°12°
13°10°
13°
12°10°
14°10°
14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low 13°·Rain 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Showers
Today 15°·Low 12°·Rain 38%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rye and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14° 10°
models agree
Fri
Clear
14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
18° 13°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14° 11°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
13° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 12°
±6°

Rye is a small town of about 9,438 people in Victoria, sitting at 38.4°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Rye with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Capel Sound, Rosebud, Dromana.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rye?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C88±6.1 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C83±8.4 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
81
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C88±6.1 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°13° to 17°±62%38% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 13°±58%25% to 83% chance
Tue±1°13° to 14°±30%2% to 32% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±33%48% to 81% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±17%0% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rye

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rye today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Rye today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rye today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Rye and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rye?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Rye (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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