Mornington weather
Loading live data…Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Mornington today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 58% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Mornington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitMornington, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 8°C), with roughly 716 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mornington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Mornington climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearWhich forecast is most accurate in Mornington?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.