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CheckWeather AU›Frankston
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Frankston weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Frankston's high today between 19° and 23°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: light rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.

20°15°
18°10°
15°9°
15°9°
17°10°
19°11°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 18° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Drizzle
Feels 19° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Light showers
Feels 21° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 96%

Latest for Frankston: European (ECMWF): 18° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 19° Light showers.

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Frankston weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Frankston swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 6°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 767 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
August
6°C average low
Wettest month
June
767 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
37,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Frankston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Frankston hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Frankston 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
20° 15°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light rain
18° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 10°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
±2°
Fri
Rain
19° 11°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 6°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
23° 9°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
20° 10°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
25° 10°
±6°

Frankston, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 767 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Frankston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Frankston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
14°
Apr
19°
11°
May
16°
9°
Jun
14°
7°
Jul
13°
7°
Aug
14°
6°
Sep
16°
8°
Oct
18°
8°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
23°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Frankston has changed since 1995

Frankston sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Melbourne. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Melbourne page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Frankston?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C96±1.9 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C95±2.5 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
88
/100rank #3
88±0.6°C95±2.6 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°19° to 23°±17%83% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 18°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±44%37% to 81% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±15%42% to 57% chance
Wed±2°16° to 18°±28%5% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Frankston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Frankston today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Frankston's high today between 19° and 23°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: light rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Frankston today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Frankston on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Frankston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Frankston (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Frankston?
January is typically the warmest month in Frankston, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Frankston get?
The coldest month in Frankston is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Frankston get?
Frankston sees roughly 767 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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