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CheckWeather AULangwarrin
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Langwarrin weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Langwarrin today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 58% chance of rain.

16°10°
13°
14°
12°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Mainly clear
Feels 8° · Wind 23 km/h · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 68%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 69%

Latest for Langwarrin: European (ECMWF): 12° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 13° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Langwarrin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
21° 10°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±10°

Langwarrin is a small town of about 22,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 38.2°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Langwarrin with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Frankston South, Frankston, Frankston East.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Langwarrin?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C92±3.8 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C92±3.8 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±50%50% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 14°±6%52% to 58% chance
Tue±1°13° to 14°±15%0% to 15% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±27%50% to 77% chance
Thumodels agree14° to 14°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Langwarrin

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Langwarrin today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Langwarrin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Langwarrin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Langwarrin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Langwarrin?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Langwarrin (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather