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CheckWeather AUMudgee
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Mudgee weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Mudgee today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 19°, with a 0% chance of rain.

18°
19°
19°
18°
18°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Mostly clear
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Clear
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Fog
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mudgee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
19°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Mon
Clear
24°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20°
±6°
Wed
Clear
19°
models agree
Thu
Clear
18°
±5°
Fri
Clear
22°
±5°
Sat
Clear
26° 11°
models agree

Mudgee is a small town of about 11,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 32.6°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Mudgee with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Orange, Bathurst, Kelso.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mudgee?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C97±1.7 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
87
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°16° to 19°±10%0% to 10% chance
Thu±1°18° to 19°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mudgee

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
17:47
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mudgee today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mudgee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mudgee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mudgee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mudgee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mudgee (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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