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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Dubbo weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Dubbo today. Tomorrow: showers, around 29°, with a 100% chance of rain.

29°15°
29°19°
22°13°
22°8°
24°10°
27°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Mainly clear
Feels 21° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 82%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light showers
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Dubbo: European (ECMWF): 21° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light showers.

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Dubbo weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dubbo swings 28°C across the year, from 32°C highs in January to 4°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 569 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
32°C average high
Coldest month
June
4°C average low
Wettest month
December
569 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
44,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Dubbo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dubbo hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dubbo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
29° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
29° 19°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 10°
±4°
Thu
Clear
27° 11°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
25° 13°
±4°
Sat
Light rain
25° 16°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
25° 15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
25° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
28° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
27° 17°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
27° 12°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
30° 13°
±4°

Dubbo, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 4°C), with roughly 569 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Dubbo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Dubbo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
32°
19°
Feb
31°
18°
Mar
27°
15°
Apr
23°
12°
May
19°
8°
Jun
15°
4°
Jul
14°
4°
Aug
15°
4°
Sep
20°
6°
Oct
24°
10°
Nov
27°
14°
Dec
30°
17°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Dubbo's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Dubbo, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2018: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

4 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −23 vs the 30-year average1996: −19 vs the 30-year average1997: +0 vs the 30-year average1998: +8 vs the 30-year average1999: −11 vs the 30-year average2000: −14 vs the 30-year average2001: +9 vs the 30-year average2002: +9 vs the 30-year average2003: +8 vs the 30-year average2004: +10 vs the 30-year average2005: +9 vs the 30-year average2006: +28 vs the 30-year average2007: −5 vs the 30-year average2008: −22 vs the 30-year average2009: +19 vs the 30-year average2010: −24 vs the 30-year average2011: −18 vs the 30-year average2012: −12 vs the 30-year average2013: +5 vs the 30-year average2014: +13 vs the 30-year average2015: −9 vs the 30-year average2016: +9 vs the 30-year average2017: +15 vs the 30-year average2018: +16 vs the 30-year average2019: +31 vs the 30-year average2020: +1 vs the 30-year average2021: −29 vs the 30-year average2022: −29 vs the 30-year average2023: +13 vs the 30-year average2024: +3 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

2 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6 vs the 30-year average1996: +0 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: −1 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +1 vs the 30-year average2003: +1 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: +0 vs the 30-year average2006: +1 vs the 30-year average2007: +1 vs the 30-year average2008: +1 vs the 30-year average2009: −2 vs the 30-year average2010: +0 vs the 30-year average2011: +0 vs the 30-year average2012: +0 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: −5 vs the 30-year average2015: +1 vs the 30-year average2016: +0 vs the 30-year average2017: −2 vs the 30-year average2018: +3 vs the 30-year average2019: +3 vs the 30-year average2020: −2 vs the 30-year average2021: +0 vs the 30-year average2022: −4 vs the 30-year average2023: −2 vs the 30-year average2024: −3 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +7% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: −5% vs the 30-year average1999: −3% vs the 30-year average2000: −3% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: −0% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −0% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: −0% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +5% vs the 30-year average2010: −5% vs the 30-year average2011: −0% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +5% vs the 30-year average2021: +2% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°C−23+6+7%
1996−1.2°C−19+0+2%
1997+0.2°C+0+2−3%
1998−0.2°C+8+3−5%
1999−0.5°C−11−4−3%
2000−0.8°C−14−1−3%
2001±0.0°C+9−3−3%
2002+0.6°C+9+1−0%
2003−0.1°C+8+1+2%
2004+0.2°C+10+1−0%
2005+0.6°C+9+0−0%
2006+0.8°C+28+1−0%
2007+0.2°C−5+1−0%
2008−0.7°C−22+1+2%
2009+0.8°C+19−2+5%
2010−1.1°C−24+0−5%
2011−0.3°C−18+0−0%
2012−0.5°C−12+0−3%
2013+0.5°C+5−4+2%
2014+0.5°C+13−5−3%
2015±0.0°C−9+1−3%
2016+0.1°C+9+0−0%
2017+0.9°C+15−2−0%
2018+1.0°C+16+3+2%
2019+1.4°C+31+3+2%
2020−0.3°C+1−2+5%
2021−1.3°C−29+0+2%
2022−1.4°C−29−4+2%
2023+1.0°C+13−2−3%
2024+0.9°C+3−3−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Dubbo, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dubbo?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C95±2.5 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
62±2.1°C89±5.3 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree29° to 29°±49%33% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±3°28° to 31°±17%83% to 100% chance
Mon±1°22° to 23°±28%66% to 94% chance
Tue±1°21° to 22°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±4°22° to 26°±8%2% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dubbo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dubbo today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Dubbo today. Tomorrow: showers, around 29°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dubbo today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Dubbo on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 83% (European 90%, American 100%, German 83%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 82%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dubbo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dubbo (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dubbo?
January is typically the warmest month in Dubbo, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Dubbo get?
The coldest month in Dubbo is June, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Dubbo get?
Dubbo sees roughly 569 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Dubbo getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Dubbo, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More AU weather