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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bathurst weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Bathurst today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 26°, with a 100% chance of rain.

25°10°
26°15°
19°8°
17°3°
20°4°
23°6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 16° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 75%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Partly cloudy
Feels 18° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 87%

Latest for Bathurst: European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 17° Partly cloudy.

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Bathurst weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bathurst swings 28°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 0°C lows in August, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 648 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
August
0°C average low
Wettest month
November
648 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and September
Residents
36,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bathurst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bathurst hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bathurst 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
25° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
26° 15°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 8°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17° 3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 4°
±5°
Thu
Clear
23° 6°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 10°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 7°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
24° 8°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
21° 8°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
25° 9°
models agree

Bathurst, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 0°C), with roughly 648 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bathurst right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bathurst climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
15°
Feb
26°
14°
Mar
23°
10°
Apr
18°
7°
May
15°
5°
Jun
12°
2°
Jul
11°
1°
Aug
12°
0°
Sep
16°
2°
Oct
19°
5°
Nov
22°
9°
Dec
25°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bathurst has changed since 1995

Bathurst sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Orange. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Orange page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bathurst?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
70±1.7°C94±2.8 km/h8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
58±2.3°C88±6.2 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 26°±57%10% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±4°24° to 28°±10%90% to 100% chance
Mon±2°18° to 20°±15%83% to 98% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±5°18° to 23°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bathurst

today, local time
Sunrise
06:10
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bathurst today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Bathurst today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 26°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bathurst today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Bathurst on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 90% (European 98%, American 100%, German 90%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 67%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bathurst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bathurst (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bathurst?
January is typically the warmest month in Bathurst, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Bathurst get?
The coldest month in Bathurst is August, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Bathurst get?
Bathurst sees roughly 648 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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