Orange swings 25°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 1°C lows in August, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 759 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
August
1°C average low
Wettest month
December
759 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
42,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Orange and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Orange hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Orange 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23°10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Thunderstorm
23°14°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
16°6°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17°5°
±5°
Thu
Clear
20°6°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
18°10°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
18°12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
18°9°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
19°6°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
21°8°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
20°11°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
21°8°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
23°9°
models agree
Orange, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 1°C), with roughly 759 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Orange right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
21°
10°
Apr
17°
8°
May
14°
6°
Jun
10°
2°
Jul
9°
2°
Aug
10°
1°
Sep
14°
3°
Oct
18°
6°
Nov
20°
9°
Dec
23°
11°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Orange's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°C
Around Orange, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
3 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
5 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.1°C
−19
+10
+7%
1996
−1.3°C
−18
+2
+2%
1997
+0.1°C
−3
+16
−3%
1998
−0.1°C
+7
+5
−3%
1999
−0.3°C
−10
−3
−3%
2000
−0.6°C
−6
−1
−3%
2001
±0.0°C
+7
−5
−3%
2002
+0.4°C
+1
+2
+2%
2003
−0.1°C
+12
+4
+2%
2004
+0.1°C
+12
+0
+2%
2005
+0.3°C
+1
+1
+2%
2006
+0.6°C
+24
+4
−3%
2007
+0.3°C
−2
+0
−3%
2008
−0.5°C
−7
+6
+2%
2009
+0.7°C
+20
−8
+7%
2010
−0.5°C
−17
+1
−3%
2011
−0.5°C
−16
−7
−3%
2012
−0.8°C
−15
+7
−3%
2013
+0.4°C
+7
−11
+2%
2014
+0.5°C
+5
−7
−3%
2015
+0.1°C
−9
+3
−3%
2016
+0.4°C
+7
−4
+2%
2017
+0.7°C
+19
+7
−3%
2018
+0.8°C
+14
+10
+2%
2019
+1.1°C
+29
+2
+2%
2020
+0.1°C
−2
−10
+2%
2021
−1.0°C
−23
−4
+2%
2022
−1.0°C
−29
−7
+2%
2023
+0.7°C
−2
−10
−3%
2024
+1.0°C
+7
−12
−3%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Orange, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Orange?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C
95±2.6 km/h
8994% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
90
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C
96±2.0 km/h
8994% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
77
/100rank #3
70±1.7°C
89±5.4 km/h
7687% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°22° to 24°
±63%21% to 84% chance
Tomorrow
±3°21° to 24°
±5%95% to 100% chance
Mon
±1°15° to 17°
±24%76% to 100% chance
Tue
±2°14° to 15°
±2%3% to 5% chance
Wed
±5°14° to 19°
±3%3% to 6% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Orange
today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
13h 10m
Common questions
What's the weather in Orange today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Orange today. Tomorrow: thunderstorm, around 23°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Orange today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Orange on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 95% (European 100%, American 100%, German 95%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 84%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Orange?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Orange (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Orange?
January is typically the warmest month in Orange, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Orange get?
The coldest month in Orange is August, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Orange get?
Orange sees roughly 759 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Orange getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Orange, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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