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Lenah Valley weather

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EuropeanECMWF
12°
Drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Rain
Feels 10° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Light rain
Feels 12° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 98%

Latest for Lenah Valley: European (ECMWF): 12° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Rain · German (DWD ICON): 12° Light rain.

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Lenah Valley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lenah Valley swings 15°C across the year, from 19°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 637 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
19°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
December
637 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and March
Residents
5,880
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Lenah Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lenah Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lenah Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lenah Valley, Tasmania is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 637 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Lenah Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Lenah Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
19°
10°
Feb
19°
10°
Mar
18°
10°
Apr
14°
7°
May
12°
6°
Jun
10°
5°
Jul
10°
4°
Aug
11°
4°
Sep
12°
4°
Oct
15°
6°
Nov
15°
7°
Dec
18°
9°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lenah Valley has changed since 1995

Lenah Valley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hobart. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hobart page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lenah Valley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
81±1.1°C95±2.7 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
79±1.1°C90±5.2 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
59±2.3°C93±3.5 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lenah Valley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Lenah Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lenah Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Lenah Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lenah Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lenah Valley (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lenah Valley?
January is typically the warmest month in Lenah Valley, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Lenah Valley get?
The coldest month in Lenah Valley is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Lenah Valley get?
Lenah Valley sees roughly 637 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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