Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Hobart's high today between 16° and 19°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 98% chance of rain.
Hobart, Tasmania. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Hobart right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Hobart's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Here is Hobart's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Hobart by season.
Hobart runs from warm summers, with January highs near 23°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 5°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Hobart sees roughly 608 mm of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Hobart is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for Hobart, scoring 85/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 85. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.