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CheckWeather AUSandy Bay
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Sandy Bay weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Sandy Bay's high today between 16° and 19°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 98% chance of rain.

17°
13°
15°
12°
16°
17°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Heavy drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 98%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Showers
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sandy Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
17°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
12°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
20°
±11°

Sandy Bay is a small town of about 12,000 people in Tasmania, sitting at 42.9°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Sandy Bay with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include South Hobart, Hobart, West Hobart.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sandy Bay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C96±1.9 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
87
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C93±3.5 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
81
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±2.8 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 19°±45%55% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±60%38% to 98% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°±33%48% to 81% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±28%40% to 68% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°±19%0% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sandy Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
17:49
Daylight
11h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sandy Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Sandy Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sandy Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Sandy Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sandy Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Sandy Bay (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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