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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Glenorchy weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Glenorchy's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light rain, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

22°13°
13°7°
13°4°
14°5°
15°10°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light rain
Feels 14° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 11° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Light rain
Feels 14° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 87%

Latest for Glenorchy: European (ECMWF): 13° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Heavy drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 14° Light rain.

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Glenorchy weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Glenorchy swings 17°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 5°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 532 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
December
532 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Glenorchy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Glenorchy hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Glenorchy 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
22° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light rain
13° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 4°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 8°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 10°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18° 4°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 7°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
19° 9°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 9°
±11°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 8°
±10°

Glenorchy, Tasmania is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 5°C), with roughly 532 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Glenorchy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Glenorchy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
12°
Feb
22°
12°
Mar
20°
11°
Apr
16°
8°
May
14°
6°
Jun
12°
5°
Jul
12°
5°
Aug
13°
5°
Sep
14°
6°
Oct
17°
7°
Nov
18°
9°
Dec
20°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Glenorchy has changed since 1995

Glenorchy sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hobart. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hobart page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Glenorchy?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C95±2.5 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C94±3.1 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
75
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C86±7.1 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±18%70% to 88% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±2%98% to 100% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±35%30% to 65% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±7%0% to 7% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±17%15% to 32% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Glenorchy

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
13h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Glenorchy today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Glenorchy's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light rain, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Glenorchy today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Glenorchy on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 98% (European 100%, American 100%, German 98%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 88%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Glenorchy?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Glenorchy (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Glenorchy?
January is typically the warmest month in Glenorchy, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Glenorchy get?
The coldest month in Glenorchy is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Glenorchy get?
Glenorchy sees roughly 532 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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