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CheckWeather AUHealesville
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Healesville weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Healesville's high today between 15° and 19°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 13°, with a 98% chance of rain.

16°10°
13°
16°
12°
13°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Drizzle
Feels 10° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 94%
GermanDWD ICON
10°
Light rain
Feels 8° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 94%

Latest for Healesville: European (ECMWF): 10° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 10° Light rain.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Healesville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Wed
Showers
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
21° 10°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
20°
±3°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±9°

Healesville, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1213 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Healesville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Healesville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
14°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
12°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
11°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Healesville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±2.1 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
79±1.1°C89±5.7 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C97±1.6 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 19°±50%50% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 13°±70%28% to 98% chance
Tue±4°15° to 19°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±44%50% to 94% chance
Thu±2°12° to 14°±23%0% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Healesville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Healesville today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Healesville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Healesville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Healesville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Healesville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Healesville (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Healesville?
January is typically the warmest month in Healesville, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Healesville get?
The coldest month in Healesville is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Healesville get?
Healesville sees roughly 1213 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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