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CheckWeather AUMontrose
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Montrose weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Montrose's high today between 15° and 17°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 76% chance of rain.

16°10°
13°
15°
11°
12°
17°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 52%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low 10°·Rain 48%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Montrose and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
21°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
18°
±2°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
17°
±2°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20°
±8°

Montrose, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 982 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Montrose right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Montrose climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
13°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
23°
12°
Apr
17°
May
15°
Jun
12°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
17°
Oct
18°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
24°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Montrose?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C96±1.8 km/t5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C97±1.5 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C89±5.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 17°±32%48% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 13°±41%35% to 76% chance
Tue±3°14° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wedmodels agree11° to 11°±14%63% to 77% chance
Thu±1°12° to 13°±12%2% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Montrose

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Montrose today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Montrose today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Montrose today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Montrose and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Montrose?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Montrose (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Montrose?
January is typically the warmest month in Montrose, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Montrose get?
The coldest month in Montrose is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Montrose get?
Montrose sees roughly 982 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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