Chirnside Park swings 23°C across the year, from 27°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 890 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
27°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
September
890 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
9,579
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Chirnside Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Chirnside Park hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Chirnside Park 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
23°15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
18°9°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°6°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
15°6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°6°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
21°9°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
18°10°
±11°
Sat
Light rain
20°10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20°5°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
23°8°
±3°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
17°10°
±2°
Thu
Partly cloudy
21°8°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
26°9°
±4°
Chirnside Park, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 890 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Chirnside Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
14°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
23°
11°
Apr
19°
9°
May
16°
6°
Jun
13°
6°
Jul
12°
4°
Aug
14°
5°
Sep
16°
6°
Oct
18°
7°
Nov
21°
9°
Dec
24°
12°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Chirnside Park's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Chirnside Park, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2018.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
2 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.4°C
−11
+2
+1%
1996
−1.5°C
−19
+2
+1%
1997
±0.0°C
+8
+6
+1%
1998
−0.3°C
+7
+3
+1%
1999
+0.2°C
+1
−1
+1%
2000
±0.0°C
+4
−2
+1%
2001
±0.0°C
+8
−2
+1%
2002
±0.0°C
−2
+1
+7%
2003
−0.3°C
+5
+2
+1%
2004
−0.5°C
−7
−0
+1%
2005
+0.1°C
−5
−2
+1%
2006
+0.1°C
+7
−3
+1%
2007
+0.6°C
+6
+1
+1%
2008
−0.1°C
−3
−1
+1%
2009
+0.4°C
+8
−0
+1%
2010
−0.3°C
−6
−0
−6%
2011
−0.5°C
−19
−3
−6%
2012
−0.3°C
−7
−0
+1%
2013
+0.3°C
+9
−2
+1%
2014
+0.6°C
+2
+3
+1%
2015
+0.4°C
+8
+5
+1%
2016
+0.3°C
+0
−1
+1%
2017
+0.5°C
+3
+3
−6%
2018
+0.8°C
+5
−0
+1%
2019
+0.8°C
+21
−0
+1%
2020
−0.3°C
−9
+1
+1%
2021
−0.5°C
−13
−0
+1%
2022
±0.0°C
−2
+1
−6%
2023
+0.4°C
−4
−0
+1%
2024
+0.8°C
−4
+2
+1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Chirnside Park, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Chirnside Park?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C
96±1.8 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
83
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C
89±5.3 km/h
8994% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C
95±2.4 km/h
7184% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°22° to 24°
±36%50% to 86% chance
Tomorrow
±3°17° to 20°
±2%98% to 100% chance
Mon
±3°14° to 16°
±31%30% to 61% chance
Tue
±1°15° to 16°
±9%18% to 27% chance
Wed
±3°16° to 19°
±21%3% to 24% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Chirnside Park
today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
13h 22m
Common questions
What's the weather in Chirnside Park today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Chirnside Park today. Tomorrow: rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Chirnside Park today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Chirnside Park on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 98% (European 100%, American 100%, German 98%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 86%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chirnside Park?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chirnside Park (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chirnside Park?
January is typically the warmest month in Chirnside Park, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Chirnside Park get?
The coldest month in Chirnside Park is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Chirnside Park get?
Chirnside Park sees roughly 890 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
Is Chirnside Park getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Chirnside Park, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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