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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUChinchilla
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Chinchilla weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Chinchilla's high today between 30° and 32°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 27°, with a 0% chance of rain.

31°17°
27°10°
25°10°
25°11°
25°12°
24°11°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 18°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
31°
Cloudy
Today 31°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
32°
Cloudy
Today 32°·Low 17°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Chinchilla and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
31° 17°
±2°
Tomorrow
Clear
27° 10°
±2°
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 10°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
25° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
25° 12°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
24° 11°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
24° 10°
±3°
Sun
Clear
24° 11°
±2°
Mon
Clear
26° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
29° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
28° 15°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
25° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 11°
models agree
Sat
Clear
27° 12°
±3°

Chinchilla, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 696 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Chinchilla right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Chinchilla climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
21°
Feb
32°
20°
Mar
30°
19°
Apr
25°
14°
May
21°
Jun
19°
Jul
19°
Aug
24°
10°
Sep
27°
12°
Oct
30°
15°
Nov
30°
19°
Dec
32°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chinchilla?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C96±2.1 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C84±7.8 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°30° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°26° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°25° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°25° to 26°±1%0% to 1% chance
Thu±3°23° to 26°±7%3% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chinchilla

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chinchilla today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Chinchilla today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chinchilla today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Chinchilla and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chinchilla?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chinchilla (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chinchilla?
January is typically the warmest month in Chinchilla, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Chinchilla get?
The coldest month in Chinchilla is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Chinchilla get?
Chinchilla sees roughly 696 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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