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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kingaroy weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Kingaroy today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

21°17°
24°18°
30°19°
29°17°
27°16°
25°16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 19° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Drizzle
Feels 18° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Rain
Feels 19° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 97%

Latest for Kingaroy: European (ECMWF): 18° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 19° Rain.

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Kingaroy weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kingaroy swings 22°C across the year, from 29°C highs in December to 7°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 718 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
December
718 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kingaroy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kingaroy hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kingaroy 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
21° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
24° 18°
±3°
Mon
Showers
30° 19°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
29° 17°
±3°
Wed
Showers
27° 16°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 16°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
24° 15°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
26° 16°
models agree
Sun
Clear
28° 16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
27° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
25° 15°
models agree
Wed
Showers
26° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
28° 16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 16°
±3°

Kingaroy, Queensland is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 718 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kingaroy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Kingaroy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
18°
Feb
28°
18°
Mar
26°
17°
Apr
24°
14°
May
20°
10°
Jun
18°
7°
Jul
17°
7°
Aug
19°
8°
Sep
23°
11°
Oct
25°
12°
Nov
27°
16°
Dec
29°
17°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Kingaroy's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°C

Around Kingaroy, 2015-2024 averaged 0.6°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2019.

1995: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

8 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −11 vs the 30-year average1996: −8 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: −15 vs the 30-year average2000: −8 vs the 30-year average2001: −1 vs the 30-year average2002: +18 vs the 30-year average2003: +0 vs the 30-year average2004: −4 vs the 30-year average2005: +9 vs the 30-year average2006: +6 vs the 30-year average2007: −8 vs the 30-year average2008: −12 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: −10 vs the 30-year average2011: −17 vs the 30-year average2012: −7 vs the 30-year average2013: −3 vs the 30-year average2014: +17 vs the 30-year average2015: −11 vs the 30-year average2016: +4 vs the 30-year average2017: +21 vs the 30-year average2018: +6 vs the 30-year average2019: +44 vs the 30-year average2020: +6 vs the 30-year average2021: −11 vs the 30-year average2022: −15 vs the 30-year average2023: +9 vs the 30-year average2024: −5 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: +4% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: −2% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +4% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: +1% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +1% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: −5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.5°C−11+4%
1996−0.5°C−8+4%
1997+0.1°C−4−2%
1998+0.1°C−1−2%
1999−1.0°C−15+4%
2000−0.4°C−8+4%
2001−0.1°C−1−2%
2002+0.4°C+18+1%
2003−0.2°C+0+1%
2004+0.2°C−4−2%
2005+0.6°C+9−2%
2006+0.3°C+6+1%
2007−0.1°C−8+1%
2008−0.7°C−12+1%
2009+0.3°C+5−2%
2010−1.1°C−10−2%
2011−1.4°C−17−2%
2012−0.7°C−7−2%
2013−0.2°C−3+1%
2014+0.4°C+17+1%
2015−0.3°C−11−2%
2016+0.8°C+4+1%
2017+0.8°C+21−2%
2018+0.3°C+6+1%
2019+1.2°C+44+1%
2020+0.6°C+6+1%
2021−0.2°C−11−2%
2022−0.6°C−15+1%
2023+1.1°C+9−5%
2024+0.9°C−5−5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Kingaroy, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kingaroy?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±1.3 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C97±1.6 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
67
/100rank #3
57±2.4°C96±1.9 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 26°±12%88% to 100% chance
Mon±4°28° to 32°±16%57% to 73% chance
Tue±3°27° to 30°±30%22% to 52% chance
Wed±6°23° to 30°±29%20% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kingaroy

today, local time
Sunrise
05:09
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kingaroy today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Kingaroy today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kingaroy today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kingaroy on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 88% (European 100%, American 94%, German 88%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kingaroy?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kingaroy (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kingaroy?
December is typically the warmest month in Kingaroy, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Kingaroy get?
The coldest month in Kingaroy is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Kingaroy get?
Kingaroy sees roughly 718 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Kingaroy getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Kingaroy, 2015-2024 averaged 0.6°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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