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CheckWeather AUToowoomba
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Toowoomba weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Toowoomba today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°13°
24°10°
21°10°
23°
20°10°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Partly cloudy
Today 28°·Low 13°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Cloudy
Today 29°·Low 16°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Toowoomba and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
29° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
24° 10°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
23°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
20°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
22°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
24°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
27°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 11°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
21°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
21°
models agree
Sat
Clear
26°
±5°

Toowoomba, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Toowoomba right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Toowoomba's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Toowoomba weather by month

what to expect in Toowoomba through the year

Here is Toowoomba's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Toowoomba by season.

Jan
28°
18°
Warm
Feb
28°
18°
Warm
Mar
26°
17°
Warm
Apr
23°
13°
Warm
May
19°
10°
Mild
Jun
17°
Mild
Jul
17°
Mild
Aug
21°
10°
Mild
Sep
23°
11°
Warm
Oct
26°
13°
Warm
Nov
26°
16°
Warm
Wettest
Dec
29°
18°
Hot

What Toowoomba's weather is like through the year

Toowoomba runs from warm summers, with December highs near 29°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 22°C across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Toowoomba sees roughly 908 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Toowoomba

The most comfortable time to visit Toowoomba is usually March, April, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Toowoomba?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C97±1.7 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
92
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C95±2.3 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C92±4.2 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Toowoomba, scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 92. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°28° to 30°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±29%0% to 29% chance
Wed±3°21° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance
Thu±5°17° to 22°±18%0% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Toowoomba

today, local time
Sunrise
06:00
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Toowoomba today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Toowoomba today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Toowoomba today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Toowoomba and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Toowoomba?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Toowoomba (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the European at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Toowoomba?
December is typically the warmest month in Toowoomba, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Toowoomba get?
The coldest month in Toowoomba is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Toowoomba get?
Toowoomba sees roughly 908 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Toowoomba?
The most comfortable time to visit Toowoomba is usually March, April, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Toowoomba?
Rarely - Toowoomba very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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