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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Winter Park, CO weather

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Light snow,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 44° in Winter Park today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 52°, with a 63% chance of rain.

44°34°
52°31°
46°31°
50°28°
54°30°
53°33°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
32°
Mainly clear
Feels 22° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
36°
Clear
Feels 24° · Wind 18 mph · Humidity 64%
EuropeanECMWF
37°
Overcast
Feels 29° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 74%

Latest for Winter Park: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 32° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 36° Clear · European (ECMWF): 37° Overcast.

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Winter Park weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Winter Park…

Winter Park weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Winter Park swings 67°F across the year, from 71°F highs in July to 4°F lows in December, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
71°F average high
Coldest month
December
4°F average low
Wettest month
April
26 in a year
Below freezing
8 months
January, February, March, April, May, October, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
993
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Winter Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Winter Park hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Winter Park 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light snow
44° 34°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light snow
52° 31°
models agree
Mon
Light snow
46° 31°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
50° 28°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
54° 30°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
53° 33°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
54° 35°
models agree
Sat
Light snow
47° 32°
±9°
Sun
Snow
39° 25°
±13°
Mon
Snow
48° 24°
models agree
Tue
Clear
50° 25°
±5°
Wed
Clear
45° 22°
±27°
Thu
Cloudy
45° 23°
±19°

Winter Park, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 71°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 4°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Winter Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Winter Park climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
8°
Feb
30°
7°
Mar
38°
15°
Apr
41°
19°
May
51°
28°
Jun
65°
36°
Jul
71°
43°
Aug
70°
43°
Sep
63°
35°
Oct
48°
24°
Nov
35°
10°
Dec
25°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 normals, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER, rain Winter Park (NOAA).

How Winter Park's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°F

Around Winter Park, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average1996: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2001: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2003: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.5°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2014: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2022: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2023: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 77°F

13 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −9 vs the 30-year average1996: −7 vs the 30-year average1997: −19 vs the 30-year average1998: −10 vs the 30-year average1999: −27 vs the 30-year average2000: +12 vs the 30-year average2001: +6 vs the 30-year average2002: +24 vs the 30-year average2003: +6 vs the 30-year average2004: −22 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: −2 vs the 30-year average2007: +8 vs the 30-year average2008: +1 vs the 30-year average2009: −19 vs the 30-year average2010: −9 vs the 30-year average2011: +7 vs the 30-year average2012: +21 vs the 30-year average2013: +1 vs the 30-year average2014: −20 vs the 30-year average2015: −9 vs the 30-year average2016: +4 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +20 vs the 30-year average2019: +4 vs the 30-year average2020: +21 vs the 30-year average2021: +26 vs the 30-year average2022: +13 vs the 30-year average2023: −11 vs the 30-year average2024: +10 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

8 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +26 vs the 30-year average1996: +4 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: +9 vs the 30-year average1999: +10 vs the 30-year average2000: +4 vs the 30-year average2001: −11 vs the 30-year average2002: +12 vs the 30-year average2003: −2 vs the 30-year average2004: −10 vs the 30-year average2005: +1 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: +4 vs the 30-year average2008: +7 vs the 30-year average2009: +1 vs the 30-year average2010: +2 vs the 30-year average2011: +9 vs the 30-year average2012: −8 vs the 30-year average2013: +8 vs the 30-year average2014: −12 vs the 30-year average2015: −11 vs the 30-year average2016: −5 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: −4 vs the 30-year average2019: +13 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: +2 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −17 vs the 30-year average2024: −13 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +10% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: −7% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −4% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: +4% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +7% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −1% vs the 30-year average2011: +7% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: +4% vs the 30-year average2015: −10% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: +4% vs the 30-year average2023: −7% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >77°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°F−9+26−1%
1996−0.9°F−7+4+10%
1997−1.7°F−19−3−1%
1998−0.4°F−10+9−7%
1999±0.0°F−27+10+4%
2000+0.5°F+12+4+2%
2001+1.0°F+6−11−4%
2002+0.5°F+24+12+2%
2003+1.0°F+6−2+2%
2004−0.2°F−22−10−4%
2005+0.5°F−6+1−1%
2006+0.1°F−2−0+4%
2007+0.7°F+8+4−1%
2008−1.3°F+1+7+7%
2009−1.5°F−19+1+2%
2010−0.4°F−9+2−1%
2011−1.1°F+7+9+7%
2012+2.5°F+21−8+2%
2013−1.5°F+1+8−1%
2014−0.8°F−20−12+4%
2015+0.7°F−9−11−10%
2016+0.5°F+4−5−1%
2017+1.0°F−3−3+2%
2018+0.5°F+20−4−1%
2019−1.5°F+4+13−1%
2020+0.7°F+21−3−1%
2021+1.0°F+26+2−1%
2022−0.2°F+13−1+4%
2023−0.4°F−11−17−7%
2024+1.6°F+10−13−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Winter Park, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°42° to 46°±1%19% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±3°50° to 53°±3%60% to 63% chance
Mon±4°43° to 47°±30%39% to 69% chance
Tue±7°46° to 53°±5%5% to 10% chance
Wed±7°51° to 58°±5%5% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Winter Park

today, local time
Sunrise
07:23
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
10h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Winter Park today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 44° in Winter Park today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 52°, with a 63% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Winter Park today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Winter Park on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 60% (NWS 63%, American 63%, European 60%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 20%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Winter Park?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Winter Park forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Winter Park?
July is typically the warmest month in Winter Park, with average highs around 71°F.
How cold does Winter Park get?
The coldest month in Winter Park is December, when overnight lows average about 4°F.
How much rain does Winter Park get?
Winter Park sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
Is Winter Park getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Winter Park, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

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