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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Breckenridge, CO weather

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Light snow,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 43° in Breckenridge today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 46°, with a 55% chance of rain.

43°30°
46°29°
45°27°
48°25°
52°26°
51°28°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
29°
Mainly clear
Feels 21° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 54%
EuropeanECMWF
34°
Mainly clear
Feels 27° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 74%

Latest for Breckenridge: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 29° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 30° Clear · European (ECMWF): 34° Mainly clear.

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Breckenridge weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Breckenridge…

Breckenridge weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Breckenridge swings 70°F across the year, from 69°F highs in July to -1°F lows in December, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
69°F average high
Coldest month
December
-1°F average low
Wettest month
April
22 in a year
Below freezing
10 months
January, February, March, April, May, June, September, October, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
4,896
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Breckenridge and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Breckenridge hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Breckenridge 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light snow
43° 30°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light snow
46° 29°
models agree
Mon
Light snow
45° 27°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
48° 25°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
52° 26°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
51° 28°
models agree
Fri
Light snow
50° 29°
models agree
Sat
Light snow
46° 29°
±9°
Sun
Light snow
39° 24°
±8°
Mon
Light snow
46° 23°
±5°
Tue
Clear
53° 24°
models agree
Wed
Clear
43° 21°
±29°
Thu
Cloudy
47° 22°
±15°

Breckenridge, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 69°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around -1°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Breckenridge right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Breckenridge climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
2°
Feb
28°
0°
Mar
35°
9°
Apr
41°
15°
May
49°
24°
Jun
61°
31°
Jul
69°
37°
Aug
68°
39°
Sep
60°
31°
Oct
47°
21°
Nov
34°
3°
Dec
27°
-1°

Source: 1991-2020 normals, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER, rain Breckenridge (NOAA).

How the weather around Breckenridge has changed since 1995

Breckenridge sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Avon. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Avon page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°41° to 44°±55%27% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°45° to 46°±14%41% to 55% chance
Mon±1°45° to 46°±14%41% to 55% chance
Tue±2°47° to 49°±4%3% to 7% chance
Wed±2°51° to 53°±5%3% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Breckenridge

today, local time
Sunrise
07:23
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
10h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Breckenridge today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 43° in Breckenridge today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 46°, with a 55% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Breckenridge today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Breckenridge on Sunday, October 25: NWS 55%, American 55%, European 41%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 82%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Breckenridge?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Breckenridge forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Breckenridge?
July is typically the warmest month in Breckenridge, with average highs around 69°F.
How cold does Breckenridge get?
The coldest month in Breckenridge is December, when overnight lows average about -1°F.
How much rain does Breckenridge get?
Breckenridge sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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