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Vail, CO weather
Loading live data…Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 53° in Vail today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 54°, with a 65% chance of rain.
Latest for Vail: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 33° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 38° Clear · European (ECMWF): 37° Mainly clear.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Vail weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Vail…
Vail weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsVail swings 70°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 7°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Vail and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Vail hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Vail 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitVail, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 7°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Vail right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Vail climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 normals, Vail (NOAA).
How the weather around Vail has changed since 1995
Vail sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Avon. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Avon page.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.