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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Boulder weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Boulder today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 90°, with a 60% chance of rain.

92°63°
90°63°
86°64°
86°61°
84°61°
91°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Partly cloudy
Today 91°·Low 65°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Cloudy
Today 93°·Low 65°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Light drizzle
Today 91°·Low 59°·Rain 14%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Boulder and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
92° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
90° 63°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
86° 64°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
86° 61°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
84° 61°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
91° 58°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
91° 62°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
80° 56°
±12°
Sun
Light drizzle
72° 53°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 48°
±16°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 53°
±8°
Wed
Clear
89° 54°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
89° 59°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
81° 62°
±5°

Boulder, CO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 15°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Boulder right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Boulder climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
15°
Feb
41°
15°
Mar
46°
22°
Apr
58°
32°
May
67°
43°
Jun
78°
54°
Jul
86°
57°
Aug
84°
58°
Sep
79°
51°
Oct
66°
41°
Nov
48°
26°
Dec
45°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Boulder?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
59
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F90±3.2 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°91° to 93°±6%8% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±2°89° to 91°±41%19% to 60% chance
Mon±3°84° to 87°±52%23% to 75% chance
Tue±4°84° to 88°±37%16% to 53% chance
Wed±11°80° to 90°±9%6% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Boulder

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Boulder today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Boulder today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Boulder today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Boulder and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Boulder?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Boulder (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Boulder?
July is typically the warmest month in Boulder, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Boulder get?
The coldest month in Boulder is January, when overnight lows average about 15°F.
How much rain does Boulder get?
Boulder sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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