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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Waterford weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Waterford today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 2% chance of rain.

63°41°
67°42°
63°47°
56°43°
63°45°
70°48°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
64°
Mostly clear
Today 64°·Low 41°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
64°
Cloudy
Today 64°·Low 38°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Clear
Today 62°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
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Waterford weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Waterford…

Waterford weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Waterford swings 61°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 18°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 82 days a year at 77°F or above, 17 of them at 86°F or above, 123 frost nights, and rain on 134 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
February
18°F average low
Wettest month
May
35 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
June and September
Residents
76,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
82 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
123 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
134 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Waterford’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Waterford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Waterford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Waterford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
63° 41°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
67° 42°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
63° 47°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
56° 43°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 45°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
70° 48°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
64° 46°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
63° 50°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
64° 51°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
58° 42°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
46° 36°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
48° 33°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
53° 40°
±15°

Waterford, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 18°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waterford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Waterford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
19°
Feb
35°
18°
Mar
43°
26°
Apr
55°
36°
May
69°
47°
Jun
77°
58°
Jul
79°
63°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
72°
56°
Oct
58°
44°
Nov
45°
32°
Dec
34°
24°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Waterford has changed since 1995

Waterford sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Detroit. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Detroit page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Waterford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°62° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°66° to 68°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±2°62° to 64°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°55° to 57°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±2°62° to 64°±11%5% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waterford

today, local time
Sunrise
07:57
Sunset
18:37
Daylight
10h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waterford today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Waterford today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Waterford today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Waterford on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waterford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waterford (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waterford?
July is typically the warmest month in Waterford, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Waterford get?
The coldest month in Waterford is February, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Waterford get?
Waterford sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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