Waconia weather
Loading live data…Latest for Waconia: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 62° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 62° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 63° Mainly clear.
Waconia weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Waconia…
Waconia weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsWaconia swings 72°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 9°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Waconia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Waconia hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Waconia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitWaconia, Minnesota (MN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 9°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waconia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Waconia climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Waconia has changed since 1995
Waconia sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Plymouth. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Plymouth page.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happenedThe CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.