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CheckWeather USWaconia

Waconia weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Partly cloudy
Feels 82° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Overcast
Feels 81° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 83%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Light drizzle
Feels 78° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 83%

Latest for Waconia: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 76° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 75° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 75° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Waconia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Waconia, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waconia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Waconia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
35°
17°
Mar
39°
23°
Apr
53°
35°
May
71°
51°
Jun
79°
62°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
80°
64°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
61°
46°
Nov
44°
31°
Dec
34°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Waconia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Waconia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waconia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Waconia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waconia?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Waconia forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Waconia?
July is typically the warmest month in Waconia, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Waconia get?
The coldest month in Waconia is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Waconia get?
Waconia sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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