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Every US forecast, compared
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CheckWeather USTracy
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Tracy weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Tracy today. Tomorrow looks clear around 81°, with a 0% chance of rain.

82°56°
81°59°
89°55°
94°63°
100°71°
102°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±13°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Mostly clear
Today 82°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Clear
Today 83°·Low 56°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tracy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
82° 56°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
81° 59°
models agree
Mon
Clear
89° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
94° 63°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
100° 71°
±13°
Thu
Mostly clear
102° 76°
±13°
Fri
Mostly clear
92° 69°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
85° 64°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
83° 59°
±20°
Mon
Partly cloudy
85° 60°
±23°
Tue
Clear
88° 61°
±17°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 60°
±14°
Thu
Cloudy
94° 65°
±14°
Fri
Clear
91° 60°
±5°

Tracy, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tracy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tracy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
43°
Feb
58°
41°
Mar
61°
44°
Apr
70°
49°
May
79°
54°
Jun
89°
60°
Jul
100°
66°
Aug
95°
64°
Sep
88°
60°
Oct
82°
58°
Nov
65°
47°
Dec
58°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tracy?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F94±1.8 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°82° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°81° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°87° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±7°91° to 98°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±13°94° to 107°models agree4% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tracy

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tracy today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tracy today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tracy today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tracy and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tracy?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tracy (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tracy?
July is typically the warmest month in Tracy, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Tracy get?
The coldest month in Tracy is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Tracy get?
Tracy sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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